Decision Workshops

Analysis of the situation in Syria in August 2013

At the end of August 2013 there was a chemical strike in Damascus killing hundreds of people. The US and its allies stated that they had evidence that the Syrian Government had ordered the attacks, the Russian government was not sure.  What light could Dilemma Analysis throw on the situation ?

Slide format (pdf download) Slide1

.pdf  format

YouTube format

1) August 2013: Looking at the origin of the Syrian conflict and how Dilemma Analysis can be used to understand what happened, and perhaps suggest what could have happened. (12 mins)

See in YouTube Front page Aug

2) Kerry's remark.  A look at when John Kerry made that throw-away remark. "I won't attack Syria if Assad gets rid of all his chemical weapons" (3 mins)

3) What could possibly go wrong?  In the light of the deals we look at how the different parties maintained the trust needed (4 mins)

See in YouTube See in YouTube

4) Actions of the Rebels.  How did the rebels respond to the news that Assad was going to get rid of the weapons that had just killed their children? Why ? (3 mins)

See in YouTube go wrong rebel actions Kerry2

5) Changes to the US and Russian Narratives.  As things developed and the UN inspection report arrived, how did the Russians react and why? (3 mins)

6) Changes to Assad's Narrative. Assad's supporters challenge the West's narrative.  Were the victims Alawite children that had been kidnapped a month before the attack? (4 mins)

7) What should we have done?  The opportunity we in the West missed and the consequences of doing so (3 mins)

See in YouTube See in YouTube See in YouTube Assad's Narrative 6 Assad's Narrative 5) US and Russian Changes 1) August

Download a single .pdf file with the contents and script of all eight videos

Download pdf

8) Benefits of using Dilemma Analysis.  How Dilemma Analysis helped us understand this problem and how it could help in others

(2 mins)

Benefits See in YouTube
ISTEAMS report HRW report UN report

Reports mentioned in the videos (pdf)